分析：亚洲液化石油气市场严重供过于求

　　据普氏能源资讯8月18日新加坡报道 来自美国LPG货物的稳定流入、伊朗咄咄逼人的让LPG货物具有竞争力价格的举措、中国因经济不景气低于预期的LPG需求增长以及日本LPG库存徘徊在多年来高点是导致亚洲LPG市场供应远远超过需求的主要原因，而这个供过于求的局面是最近几年里从来没有看到过的。

　　全球著名能源咨询公司Energy Aspects的全球石油产品分析师安德鲁?埃克林在本月发表的一份题为“英雄到狗熊”的研究报告中说，对一个在结构上LPG短缺并经历全球最强劲需求增长的地区来说，亚洲目前LPG供应泛滥。

　　美国得到超大型液化气船运费跌至多年低点帮助的大量LPG出口已促使天然气运输公司把LPG大量投入位于新加坡海上的浮式储存设施中。Energy Aspects在报告中说，至少有7艘超大型液化气船在新加坡海上已停泊数周。

　　这种不稳定供应状况大幅拉低了LPG价格。冷藏丙烷的价格（CFR日本）7月29日首次跌至创纪录低的每吨271.5美元，这是普氏能源资讯2006年10月开始发布这个评估以来的最低水平。

　　李峻 编译

原文如下：

Analysis: For Asian LPG buyers, its an all-you-can-eat buffet

Singapore (Platts)--18 Aug 2016

A steady influx of cargoes from the US, Irans aggressive move to push cargoes at competitive prices, slower-than-expected demand growth in China on the back of a sluggish economy and Japans inventory levels hovering at multi-year highs have all contributed to supply in Asia far outweighing demand, creating a glut not seen in recent years.

For a region that is structurally short of LPG and experiences the strongest demand growth globally, Asia is currently awash with LPG supplies, Andrew Echlin, global oil products analyst at Energy Aspects, wrote in a research report on LPG titled Hero to Zero published this month.

Plentiful US exports, aided by VLGC rates falling to multi-year lows, have prompted gas carriers to put LPG into floating storage off Singapore. Energy Aspects said in the report that at least seven VLGCs were parked off the coast of Singapore, with some anchored for weeks.

The precarious oversupply situation has pulled down prices sharply. The price of refrigerated propane on a CFR Japan basis first plunged to a record low of $271.50/mt on July 29. This was the lowest since Platts started publishing this assessment in October 2006.