据普氏能源资讯1月20日新加坡报道,亚洲时下正准备在至少4个国家里见证新的炼油产能的增长,但是,在一些最大消费国里的产能减少将把净增加拉下到将低于这个地区今年很有可能看到预期需求增长的水平。
分析师和市场参与者对标普全球普氏能源资讯记者说,当中国、印度、中国台湾地区和越南预计今年增加他们的炼油能力的时候,日本将见证炼油厂关闭,而中国的一些独立炼油厂可能被迫放弃产能。
Facts全球能源公司负责苏伊士以东石油业务的主管斯里?帕拉维卡拉苏说,今年亚洲地区的石油需求增长预计超过净炼油产能的增长。看看未来的五年,石油产品需求增长应该每一年超过净炼油产能的增加。
根据普氏能源资讯,印度的增长将是最强劲增长之一,其今年的石油需求增加预计将连续第三年超过中国。今年印度的需求预计同比增加7%至413万桶/天,而中国今年的石油消费量预计同比将仅增加3%至1150万桶/天。
李峻编译
原文如下:
Asias unquenchable thirst for oil to outpace 2017 refining growth
Singapore (Platts)--20 Jan 2017
Asia is gearing up to witness new refining capacity growth in at least four countries in 2017, but capacity reductions in some top consuming nations will pull down the net addition to a level that would be lower than the anticipated demand growth the region is likely to see this year.
While China, India, Taiwan and Vietnam are expected to add to their refining capacities this year, Japan will witness closures, while some independent refiners in China might be forced to give up capacity, analysts and market participants told S&P Global Platts.
Oil demand growth in the Asian region is expected to exceed the net refining additions this year, said Sri Paravaikkarasu, Head of Oil, East of Suez, at Facts Global Energy. And looking at the next five-year horizon, oil products demand growth should exceed net refining additions every single year, helping to clear product surplus somewhat.
Growth in India is set to be one of the strongest, with the rise in oil demand expected to outpace that of Chinas for the third year in a row this year, according to Platts Analytics. Indian demand is expected to grow by 7% year on year to 4.13 million b/d in 2017, while Chinas oil consumption is expected to rise by only 3% to 11.5 million b/d in the same period.
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