IEA：今年全球石油需求增速回落到130万桶/天

　　据国外媒体1月19日巴黎报道，根据国际能源署（IEA）的最新一期石油市场报告，全球去年石油需求增长现在预计在150万桶/天。

　　IEA在报告中说：“然而，在2017年，我们仍然预计全球石油需求增长速度回落到130万桶/天。更高产品价格，假设2017年原油成本上涨，加上美元走强可能性的前景是我们下调今年全球石油需求增长前景背后的因素。”

　　根据报告，初步迹象显示，由于沙特阿拉伯与其邻国执行减产协议，欧佩克1月份的原油产量可能进一步减少。

　　报告说：“IEA曾预测页岩油产量在2017年将有一段时间增加，但是，我们现在预测页岩油产量在去年日减近30万桶以后今年将有更大的增加，日增17万桶。”

　　报告说，在别处，计划已久的项目在巴西和加拿大将陆续投产，这些项目今年将日增41.5万桶石油产量。在中国和哥伦比亚，去年看到的产量大幅下降今年将会减少。

　　李峻编译

　　原文如下：

　　IEA: Global oil demand growth expected to drop in 2017

　　Trend/January 19, 2017/Paris

　　Global oil demand growth for 2016 is now expected to be 1.5 million barrels per day (mb/d), according to the Oil Market Report of the International Energy Agency (IEA).

　　“In 2017, however, we still expect the rate of growth for global demand to fall back to 1.3 mb/d. The prospect of higher product prices - assuming that the cost of crude oil rises in 2017 - plus the possibility of a stronger US dollar are factors behind our reduced demand growth outlook for this year,” said IEA.

　　Early indications suggest a deeper reduction may be under way in OPEC crude production for January, as Saudi Arabia and its neighbors enforce supply cuts, according to the report.

　　“The IEA has anticipated for some time that shale oil production will increase in 2017, but we are now expecting an even larger increase of 170,000 b/d, following a decline of nearly 300,000 b/d last year,” said the organization.

　　“Elsewhere, long-planned projects are coming on stream in Brazil and Canada and their combined production will rise by 415,000 b/d this year,” said the report. “In China and Colombia, the sharp declines in production seen in 2016 will be reduced.”.