IEA：全球石油需求自2009年来首次下降

据今日油价网站3月9日消息 国际能源署（IEA）周一表示，自2009年金融危机以来，今年全球石油需求将首次下降，IEA将需求前景下调110万桶/日。

IEA执行董事法蒂赫·比罗尔两周前提醒称，可能对全球石油需求增长的影响超过最初预期。该机构在2020年3月的月度石油市场上表示，2020年全球需求同比下降9万桶/日。

在2月份的市场报告中，IEA将其2020年石油需求增长预测下调了36.5万桶/日，至仅82.5万桶/日，为2011年以来最低的石油需求增长，并提醒称，全球石油需求在10多年来将首次出现季度萎缩。

IEA在3月份的报告中称：“尽管形势依然不稳定，但我们预计2020年全球石油需求将下降，这是10多年来的首次全年下降。”

报告评论了欧佩克+联盟的崩溃，称这意味着欧佩克+国家在评估未来的产量水平时将可以自由地行使其商业判断。

IEA的报告发布前一天，联盟国上周五突然终止欧佩克+协议后，沙特阿拉伯对俄罗斯发动了一场油价战。上周末，沙特对包括亚洲在内的所有市场的官方销售价格下调了6-7美元/桶，并表示将从4月份起提高产量，使油价周一大幅下挫，创下1991年以来的最大跌幅。

王磊 摘译自 今日油价

原文如下：

IEA: Oil Demand To Drop For First Time Since 2009

Global oil demand is set to drop this year for the first time since the financial crisis in 2009, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Monday, as it slashed its demand outlook by 1.1 million bpd due to the coronavirus outbreak and its impact on economies.

The IEA now sees global demand falling by 90,000 bpd year on year in 2020, the agency said in its Monthly Oil Market for March 2020, after its executive director Fatih Birol warned two weeks ago that the coronavirus outbreak could hit global oil demand growth more than initially expected.

In the February market report, the IEA had slashed its 2020 oil demand growth forecast by 365,000 bpd to just 825,000 bpd—the lowest oil demand growth since 2011, and warned that the coronavirus outbreak would lead to the first quarterly contraction in global oil demand in more than 10 years.

In view of the global spread of the coronavirus and its impact on the global economy, the agency now expects full-year oil demand to drop.

“While the situation remains fluid, we expect global oil demand to fall in 2020 – the first full-year decline in more than a decade,” the IEA said in its March report.

The report commented on the collapse of the OPEC+ coalition, saying that the implication is that “the OPEC+ countries will be free to exercise their commercial judgement when assessing future levels of production.”

The IEA report comes a day after Saudi Arabia effectively launched an oil price war on Russia after the former allies abruptly ended the OPEC+ agreement last Friday. Over the weekend, the Saudis slashed their official selling prices by $6-7 a barrel to all markets including Asia, and signaled they would boost production as of April, sending oil prices into a tailspin on Monday to the biggest fall since 1991.