据天然气加工网站3月25日消息 随着流向液化天然气出口终端的天然气流量增加,同时产量下降,美国天然气期货价格小幅上涨近2%。
交易员指出,尽管随着天气转暖,预计未来两周天然气需求(液化天然气出口除外)将下降,但价格仍有所上涨。
美国东部时间上午8:24(格林尼治标准时间12:24),纽约商品交易所4月份交割的天然气期货价格上涨2.7美分(1.6%),至1.680美元/每百万英热单位。周一,该合约收于1995年9月以来的最低水平。
甚至在冠状病毒传播开始削减全球经济增长和能源需求之前,天然气价格就已接近多年来的最低水平,因为创纪录的产量和数月的温和天气使得公用事业公司能够储存更多的天然气,使得今年冬天不太可能出现燃料短缺和价格飙升。
随着天气转暖,数据提供商Refinitiv预计,美国48个州的天然气需求(包括出口)将从本周的平均1055亿立方英尺/天下滑至下周的1003亿立方英尺/天,这低于Refinitiv周二的预测,本周为1056亿立方英尺/天,下周为1011亿立方英尺/天。
同时,根据Refinitiv的数据,流向美国液化天然气出口工厂的天然气量从周一的89亿立方英尺/天增至周二的92亿立方英尺/天。而上周,由于大雾导致钱尼尔能源位于路易斯安那州的Sabine Pass工厂的油轮运输延迟,平均为81亿立方英尺/天。1月31日,该公司的平均95亿立方英尺/天创下历史新高。
吴恒磊 编译自 天然气加工
原文如下:
U.S. natgas futures edge up as LNG exports rise, output slips
U.S. natural gas futures edged up almost 2% as flows to liquefied natural gas (LNG) export terminals increased at the same time output declined.
Traders noted prices rose even though demand for gas - other than for LNG export - was expected to decline over the next two weeks as the weather turns milder.
Front-month gas futures for April delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose 2.7 cents, or 1.6%, to $1.680 per million British thermal units (mmBtu) at 8:24 a.m. EDT (1224 GMT). On Monday, the contract closed at its lowest since September 1995.
Even before the coronavirus started to cut global economic growth and demand for energy as it spread, gas prices were trading near their lowest in years as record production and months of mild weather enabled utilities to leave more gas in storage, making fuel shortages and price spikes unlikely this winter.
With milder weather expected, data provider Refinitiv projected gas demand in the U.S. Lower 48 states, including exports, would slide from an average of 105.5 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) this week to 100.3 bcfd next week. That is lower than Refinitiv's forecast on Tuesday of 105.6 bcfd this week and 101.1 bcfd next week.
The amount of gas flowing to U.S. LNG export plants, meanwhile, rose to 9.2 bcfd on Tuesday from 8.9 bcfd on Monday, according to Refinitiv. That compares with an average of 8.1 bcfd last week when fog delayed tanker traffic into Cheniere Energy Inc's Sabine Pass plant in Louisiana, and an all-time daily high of 9.5 bcfd on Jan. 31.
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