IEA称全球石油需求或将下降20％

据能源世界网3月27日伦敦报道，国际能源署（IEA）负责人周四在呼吁欧佩克领导者沙特帮助稳定石油市场时表示，由于疫情影响，全球石油需求可能下降20％。

法提赫·比罗尔（Fatih Birol）在大西洋理事会电话会议上表示，如今，全球有30亿人被封锁。 因此，我们很可能会看到今年的一段时间，需求下降，正如一些人所说，每天大约有2000万桶。

去年全球石油日需求量为1亿桶。

比罗尔称，尽管需求遭到了巨大破坏，但由于沙特与俄罗斯的市场份额之争，石油供应仍将再增加300万桶/日。作为今年20国集团(G20)的主席，人们希望沙特根据过去的历史为稳定全球石油市场提供建设性支持。

他没有透露沙特阿拉伯、俄罗斯和美国是否可以与国际能源署一起发挥稳定作用。他说：“我正在和很多人交谈。”

比罗尔表示，负责协调工业化国家能源政策的IEA 将在两周内就全球石油需求提供更清晰的前景和时间表，届时该机构将公布其月度报告。

但是考虑到主要的供过于求，全球存储容量可能很快将会耗尽。 Birol补充道，需求恢复既不容易也不迅速。

比罗尔还表示，他预计美国石油产量将大幅下降，但随后，当市场复苏和更高的油价一起复苏时，市场将出现好转。

郝芬 译自 能源世界网

原文如下：

IEA says global oil demand could drop 20 per cent as 3 billion people in lockdown

Global oil demand could dive by 20 per cent as 3 billion people are in a lockdown because of the coronavirus outbreak, the head of the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday as he called on OPEC leader Saudi Arabia to help stabilise oil markets.

"Today, 3 billion people in the world are locked down. As a result of that we may well see sometime throughout this year demand to fall down, as some say, about 20 million barrels per day," Fatih Birol told an Atlantic Council conference call.

The world's oil demand stood at 100 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2019.

Birol said that, despite huge demand destruction, oil supply was nevertheless set to rise by another 3 million bpd as part of Saudi Arabia's market share battle with Russia.

"Being the president of the G20 this year, one would expect that Saudi Arabia will provide a constructive support to the stabilisation of the global oil markets based on their past record," he said.

He did not say whether Saudi Arabia, Russia and the United States could play a stabilising role together with the IEA.

"I'm talking to a lot of people," he said.

Birol said the IEA, which coordinates energy policies of industrialised nations, would give a clearer outlook and timeframe on the global oil demand in two weeks, when the agency is due to publish its monthly report.

But given the major oversupply, the world might soon run out of global storage capacity. Birol added that demand recovery would neither be easy nor quick.

Birol also said he expected US oil production to decline significantly but then surprise the market on the upside when it recovers together with higher oil prices.