IMF把今年油价预测大幅削减到35美元/桶

 据原油新闻2020年4月14日迪拜报道，国际货币基金组织(IMF)14日在其最新一期《世界经济展望》报告中表示，由于全球经济将出现自大萧条以来最严重的经济恶化，今年油价在最乐观的情况下将平均每桶35美元，油价在2021年将维持在这一水平上。

在其1月份的《世界经济展望》报告中，IMF预测今年油价为每桶58.03美元，2021年为每桶55.31美元。

尽管欧佩克+集团12日达成协议，在今年5月和6月将每天减产970万桶，并在2022年4月协议期满之前逐步减少减产，但目前的油价仍低于IMF的预测。

IMF研究部门副主管Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti在报告发布会上表示：“欧佩克+减产承诺将有助于稳定市场。然而，未来的油价不太可能回到疫情出现前的水平。”

李峻 编译自 原油新闻

原文如下：

IMF slashes 2020 oil price forecast to $35/b as global economy set to contract 3%

Oil prices will average $35/b in 2020 as the global economy contracts 3% in the worst deterioration in economic conditions since the Great Depression in a best-case scenario and stay around that level for 2021, the International Monetary Fund said Tuesday in its World Economic Outlook.

In its January report, the fund assumed an oil price of $58.03/b in 2020, and $55.31/b in 2021.

Oil prices are currently trading below the fund's forecast despite the OPEC+ group agreement on Sunday to cut a record 9.7 million b/d in May and June this year and gradually decrease cuts through April 2022.

"The promised reduction in supply will help stabilize the market," deputy director of the fund's research department Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti told a press conference on the report.

However future prices are unlikely to return to pre-coronavirus levels, the report said.