据Azernews新闻网站4月27日消息 当地媒体4月27日援引国际货币基金组织(IMF)4月份对高加索和中亚地区的评估报告称,阿塞拜疆2020年的石油日产量预计为67万桶。
根据国际货币基金组织的预测,2020年阿塞拜疆非石油部门的国内生产总值将下降2%,2021年将增长1%。
早些时候,国际货币基金组织表示,阿塞拜疆2020年的国内生产总值将下降2.2%,2021年的经济增长率将下降0.7%。
这些预测是基于疫情负面影响和油价下跌对该国经济的影响。
此外,参照IMF对阿塞拜疆的预期,今年名义国内生产总值将达到400亿美元,2021年将达到420亿美元。
此外,IMF预计,阿塞拜疆的石油部门2020年将减少2.5%,2021年将增加0.2%。
根据国际货币基金组织的估计,2020年该国石油日产量将为67万桶(2019年为71万桶),2021年为65万桶。
此外,阿塞拜疆政府预测2020年国内生产总值增长3%,2021年增长3.7%。在此期间,非石油部门的国内生产总值将分别增长3.8%和3.4%。
预计2020-2021年石油行业的国内生产总值分别为0.9%和4.5%。
2019年,阿塞拜疆国内生产总值增长2.2%,非石油部门增长3.5%,石油部门增长0.4%。
吴恒磊 编译自 Azernews
原文如下:
IMF: Azerbaijan’s daily oil production to reach 0.67 million barrels in 2020
Azerbaijan's daily oil production is forecast to be 0.67 million barrels in 2020, local media reported on April 27, citing the April review of the IMF (International Monetary Fund) for the Caucasus and Central Asia.
Based on the forecasts of the IMF, in 2020, the GDP of Azerbaijan's non-oil sector will decrease by 2 percent, and in 2021 the growth will be 1 percent.
Earlier, the IMF stated that Azerbaijan's GDP will decrease by 2.2 percent in 2020 and economic growth by 0.7 percent in 2021.
Note that these forecasts are based on the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the fall in oil prices on the country's economy.
In addition, referring to the Fund’s expectations for Azerbaijan, the nominal GDP will be $40 billion this year and $42 billion in 2021.
Moreover, the Fund anticipates that the oil sector in Azerbaijan will decrease by 2.5 percent in 2020 and increase by 0.2 percent in 2021.
In relation to the estimations of the IMF, the country's daily oil production in 2020 will be 0.67 million barrels (in 2019 - 0.71 million barrels), in 2021 - 0.65 million barrels.
Furthermore, the Azerbaijani government forecasts GDP growth of 3 percent in 2020 and 3.7 percent in 2021. During this period, GDP in the non-oil sector will increase by 3.8 percent and 3.4 percent.
Expectations for GDP in the oil sector are estimated with 0.9 percent and 4.5 percent in 2020-2021 respectively.
In 2019, Azerbaijan's GDP increased by 2.2 percent, the non-oil sector by 3.5 percent, and the oil sector by 0.4 percent.
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