欧佩克：下半年油价将升至每桶40美元

欧佩克：下半年油价将升至每桶40美元

据4月28日Gulf Times报道，欧佩克轮值主席阿尔及利亚能源部长穆罕默德?阿卡布(Mohamed Arkab)表示，欧佩克预测，随着欧佩克+减产及世界各地逐步解除行动限制，油价将在2020年下半年开始回升，油价将从第三季度开始将达到40美元/桶。

根据欧佩克的说法，全球经济不会停滞太久。阿卡布称："加上欧佩克及其盟友5月和6月承诺的970万桶/天的减产，将在2020年下半年推升油价。亚洲交通部门正在逐步恢复正常，也正在提振全球需求。

就在欧佩克+协议生效的前几天，由于市场将目光聚焦在迫在眉睫的储油空间短缺问题上，并且超过了欧佩克+减产协议带来的潜在影响，油价暴跌。

上周，欧佩克第四大产油国科威特表示，该国已经在5月1日前开始减少对国际市场的石油供应：“当前形势下，必须对市场状况做出应对措施。”

邹勤 摘译自 Gulf Times

原文如下：

OPEC Says Oil Price May Rise To $40 In Second Half Of 2020

OPEC has predicted that oil prices are set to recover with the OPEC+ production cuts and gradual lifting of lockdowns around the world in the second half of 2020, when oil prices “will be $40 starting from the third quarter,” Mohamed Arkab, Energy Minister of OPEC’s rotating president Algeria, said.

According to OPEC the global economy will not stay paralyzed for too long. “Together with the 9.7 million bpd cuts, OPEC and its allies pledged for May and June, these factors are set to lift the price of oil in H2 2020” Arkab said.

In Asia, which was hit first by the coronavirus, and which exited the lockdown first, the return to normalization in the transportation sector “is driving up global demand,” according to Algeria’s energy minister.

Just a few days before the OPEC+ deal enters into force, oil prices crashed as the market continues to see the imminent storage shortage problem as a bigger factor for prices than the potential effect of the OPEC+ cuts and the potential easing of the lockdown measures.

Last week, OPEC’s fourth-largest producer, Kuwait, said it had already started to reduce oil supply to international markets ahead of May 1, “sensing a responsibility responding to market conditions.” he said.