石油生产国产量逐步企稳

据CNBC网站5月18日消息：油价周二持稳，有迹象显示，石油生产国正按照承诺削减产量，而随着一些国家解除封锁，交易商则在等待需求状况的进一步明朗。

基准布伦特原油价格上涨34美分，至35.15美元/桶，涨幅0.98%。将于周二到期的西德克萨斯中质原油的前一个月合约上涨91美分，至32.73美元/桶，涨幅2.9%。

七月份交割的原油期货价格上涨了1美分，至31.75美元/桶。

石油经纪商PVM的塔马斯·沃尔高表示：“需求市场在改善，经济产出将会有所增长，但会远低于年初的预期水平。”

欧亚集团敦促人们对石油消费保持谨慎，理由是“全球经济衰退，新兴市场(如拉丁美洲、非洲和南亚)随后可能出现更严重的疫情爆发高峰”。

预计全球需求复苏将较为缓慢。

石油输出国组织（欧佩克）和包括俄罗斯在内的其他国家（被称为欧佩克+组织）达成的减产协议正在实施，市场因此得到提振。

跟踪石油运输的公司称，欧佩克在5月上旬大幅削减石油出口，这表明该组织在遵守新的减产协议方面有了良好的开端。

为了进一步支撑油价，美国产量也在下降，预计6月七个主要页岩层的原油产量将下降至782.2万桶/天。根据美国能源信息署的数据，这将是自2018年8月以来的最低水平。

5月上半月，印度燃料需求的复苏势头也有所增强。

冯娟 摘译自 CNBC

原文如下：

Oil steady on signs of output cuts

Oil prices were steady on Tuesday amid signs that producers are cutting output as promised while traders awaited more clarity on the demand picture as some countries ease out of lockdowns.

Benchmark Brent crude rose 34 cents, or 0.98%, to trade at $35.15 per barrel. The front-month contract for West Texas Intermediate crude, which is set to expire on Tuesday, was up 91 cents, or 2.9%, at $32.73 per barrel.

The July contract, which was trading at vastly higher volumes, was up one cent at $31.75 a barrel.

“A powerful cocktail made of bullish ingredients have been supporting the oil market for a month ... Demand is improving, supply is decreasing,” said oil broker PVM’s Tamas Varga.

“This improvement in sentiment, however, is expected to be relatively short-lived ... economic output will grow compared to the current quarter but will be well below the levels expected at the beginning of the year,” Varga added.

Global demand recovery is expected to be slow as some restrictions remain and there is a significant risk of repeat outbreaks and lockdowns.

The Eurasia group urged caution on oil consumption, citing “a global recession, cautious consumers, and a later and potentially worse peak of the coronavirus outbreak in emerging markets such as Latin America, Africa, and South Asia”.

There was little sign of a repeat of the historic plunge below zero seen last month ago on the eve of the May contract’s expiry amid signs of rising demand for crude and fuels.

The market was boosted earlier by signs that output cuts agreed by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and others including Russia, a group known as OPEC+, are being implemented.

OPEC+ cut its oil exports sharply in the first half of May, companies that track shipments said, suggesting a strong start in complying with their latest pact to curb output.

U.S. production is also falling, with crude output from seven major shale formations expected to fall to 7.822 million barrels per day in June, the lowest since August 2018, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

A recovery in fuel demand in India also gathered momentum in the first half of May.