英国海底项目有望于2021年恢复

据能源之声6月1日报道，据一位市场分析师表示，英国海域的海底项目活动有望在明年和2022年恢复。

雷斯塔能源（Rystad Energy）资深油田服务分析师Henning Bjorvik表示，根据现有发现，英国海域可能出现30次海底回接，以每桶30美元的油价计算，这可能具有商业价值。

海底采油树订单是贝克休斯（Baker Hughes）等一级承包商的一项关键绩效指标，预计今年全球降到2016年水平，这是世纪之交以来的最低水平，不到100个。

比约克维克（Bjorvik）表示，由于油价暴跌，推动这些订单的FPSO(浮式生产、储存和卸载)项目，如Equinor在英国水域的罗斯班克(Rosebank)项目，已被“推出”，并“进入管道”。

Bjorvik先生在海底博览会网络研讨会上发表讲话时称，实际上，2016年是自世纪之交以来我们获得的海底树木数量最少的一年。因此，四年后我们已经重新审视这些数字，实际上是非常令人恐惧的。

但是，从全球范围来看，预计到2022年订单将恢复到“更舒适的水平”，而巴西和圭亚那仍然是“热点”。

英国可能不久也会恢复服务，尽管预计只有少数几个国家会在今年恢复服务。

Bjorvik先生补充道，从我们在英国看到的所有发现中，实际上有32个项目的收支平衡低于30美元，其中有30个是海底连接项目。因此，在这32项中，有30项是海底回接，我们在英国将其归类为低风险，因此仍然有希望在2021年和2022年在英国方面恢复海底回接项目。

郝芬 译自 能源之声

原文如下：

‘Hope’ for return of UK subsea projects in 2021 says analyst

There is “hope” for a return of subsea project activity in UK waters next year and in 2022, a market analyst has said.

Henning Bjorvik, senior oilfield service analyst at Rystad Energy, said there is potential for 30 subsea tiebacks in UK waters based on discoveries available, which could be commercial at a $30 a barrel oil price.

It comes as subsea xmas tree orders, a key performance metric for Tier 1 contractors like Baker Hughes, is expected to drop back to 2016 levels globally this year, the lowest since the turn of the century, at less than 100.

FPSO (floating production, storage and offloading) projects which drive these orders, such as Equinor’s Rosebank in UK waters, have been “pushed out” and “down the pipeline” Mr Bjorvik said, due to the oil price crash.

Speaking at a Subsea Expo Webinar, Mr Bjorvik said: “2016 is actually the lowest number of subsea trees we’ve seen being awarded since the turn of the century.

“So it is actually quite scary to see we’re now on track to revisit those numbers already after four years.”

However, looking globally, orders are expected to return to “more comfortable levels” by 2022, with “hot spots” remaining in Brazil and Guyana.

The UK may also see a return to service before long, although only a handful are expected to proceed this year.

Mr Bjorvik added: “From all the discoveries we see in the UK there are actually 32 projects which are below a breakeven on $30, and out of this, 30 are subsea tieback projects.

“So 30 out of these 32 are subsea tiebacks, what we class as low-risk in the UK so still there is hope for subsea tieback projects to come back in 2021 and 2022 on the UK side.”