欧佩克减产和需求复苏 油价突破40美元

据路透社6月3日报道，受到需求出现复苏迹象、美国库存下降以及欧佩克将继续减产的预期等因素的支撑，油价周三攀升至每桶40美元上方，为3月以来首见。

美国石油学会(American Petroleum Institute)周二表示，美国原油库存减少48.3万桶，这表明供应过剩状况正在缓解。

截至格林尼治时间10：00点，8月份布伦特原油期货价格上涨41美分，至39.98美元/桶，涨幅为1%，此前曾触及3月6日以来的最高水平，至40.53美元/桶。7月份西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)上涨56美分，至每桶37.37美元，涨幅为1.5%。

石油经纪商PVM的斯蒂芬?布伦诺克(Stephen Brennock)表示:“一个共识正在形成，即欧佩克将延长目前的减产。”他指的是欧佩克成员国及其盟友，包括俄罗斯。

近几周，这两种基准原油价格均大幅上涨，其中布伦特原油价格在4月跌至每桶16美元以下的21年低点后上涨了逾一倍，当时美国原油价格跌破零值。

中国经济的复苏以及其他国家政府放松了出行的限制，都在支撑着价格。欧佩克将在5月和6月将石油日产量削减970万桶，约为冠状病毒危机前全球产量的10%，以支撑油价。

受市场复苏迹象的鼓舞，欧佩克+正考虑将减产延长至6月以后。但是，目前还没有就把部长级会议从原定的6月晚些时候推迟到星期四一事达成协议。

一位欧佩克代表表示:“当布伦特原油价格逼近每桶40美元时，这是一个好迹象。这证明我们的方向是对的。”

一项调查显示，作为全球第二大石油消费国，中国服务业上月恢复增长，这是今年1月以来的首次增长。凯投宏观(Capital Economics)在一份报告中表示:“随着与疫情相关的封锁措施继续解除，我们预计需求将逐渐恢复。”

王佳晶 摘译自 路透社

原文如下：

Oil tops $40 on OPEC cuts and demand recovery

Oil climbed above $40 a barrel for the first time since March on Wednesday, supported by signs of recovery in coronavirus-hit demand, lower U.S. inventories and expectations that OPEC+ will keep oil output cuts in place.

Suggesting a supply glut is easing, the American Petroleum Institute on Tuesday said that U.S. crude inventories fell by 483,000 barrels.

Brent crude futures for August were up 41 cents, or 1%, at $39.98 by 1000 GMT, having earlier touched their highest since March 6 at $40.53. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for July gained 56 cents, or 1.5%, to $37.37.

“A consensus is emerging that the producer group will prolong current cuts,” said Stephen Brennock of oil broker PVM, referring to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia, a group known as OPEC+.

Both benchmarks have surged in recent weeks, with Brent more than doubling after hitting a 21-year low below $16 in April, when U.S. crude turned negative.

A recovery in China and the easing of government lockdowns elsewhere is supporting prices.

The OPEC+ group is cutting output by 9.7 million barrels per day (bpd), about 10% of global output before the coronavirus crisis, in May and June to support prices.

Encouraged by signs of recovery in the market, OPEC+ is considering extending the cut beyond June. But there has been no agreement yet on bringing forward a ministerial meeting to Thursday from its original date later in June.

“When you have Brent approaching $40, it is a good sign,” one OPEC delegate said. “We are on the right track.”

The services sector in China, the world’s second-biggest oil consumer, returned to growth last month for the first time since January, a survey showed.

“As virus-related lockdown measures continue to be lifted, we expect that demand will gradually recover,” Capital Economics said in a report.