今年全球太阳能发电量将下降20％

据能源世界网6月5日新德里报道，根据清洁能源咨询公司Bridge to India最新报告，新冠肺炎大流行造成了数次运营和财务挫折，使2020年太阳能新增装机发电量预估从之前的130-135吉瓦降低了20％至约105吉瓦。

据清洁能源咨询公司表示，除了疫情影响外，该行业还面临许多其他短期至中期影响。

这些因素包括化石燃料和传统电力价格的下跌，这些风险给基于电网平价的项目带来了生存风险，公用事业的财务状况恶化，电力生产商承购风险增加以及建筑活动中断导致成本增加和收入可能下降。

其补充道，其他原因是政府采购方案延迟、最终消费者驱动的市场急剧下滑、对较小的设备制造商的压力、贸易壁垒增加的风险和融资受限。

这场疫情使政府和决策者的注意力重新集中在应对气候变化和本地化能源供应上。

题为“疫情对全球太阳能市场的影响”的报告称，这两个优先事项都发挥了太阳能技术的优势。 预计传统能源投资者将加快向可再生能源的转变。

根据这份报告，在设计经济刺激计划时，政府需要考虑长期的结构性利益，如能源获取、创造就业、减少排放和技术创新。

清洁能源咨询公司补充道，重点应放在减少风险，特别是小开发商的风险，并确保为高度脆弱的分布式太阳能市场提供融资支持。应确保新兴市场充分获得低成本债务和其他融资机制，以保持该行业的增长势头。

郝芬 译自 能源世界网

原文如下:

Global solar capacity addition set to plummet by 20 per cent in 2020

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused several operational and financial setbacks bringing down solar capacity addition estimates by 20 per cent to about 105 GW for 2020 from the previous forecast of 130-135 GW, according to a latest report by Bridge to India.

Apart from the pandemic crisis, there were many other short to mid-term implications for the sector, the clean energy consultancy said.

These included fall in fossil fuel and conventional power prices posing viability risk to grid parity-based projects, deteriorating financial condition of utilities, higher offtake risk for power producers, and disruption in construction activity resulting in higher costs and potentially lower revenues.

It added that other reasons were delay in government procurement programmes, sharp downturn in end consumer driven markets, pressure on smaller equipment manufacturers, risk of growing trade barriers, and constrained financing.

The pandemic has refocused attention of governments and policymakers to fight climate change and localise energy supply.

“Both these priorities play to solar technology’s advantage. Investors in conventional energy are expected to accelerate the shift towards renewable energy,” said the report titled ‘COVID-19: Impact on global solar market’.

According to the report, while designing economic stimulus packages, the governments need to consider long-term structural benefits such as energy access, job creation, reducing emissions, and technology innovation.

The clean energy consultancy added that the focus should be on reducing risks especially for small developers and ensuring financing support for the highly vulnerable distributed solar market. And added that adequate access to low-cost debt and other financing mechanisms should be ensured for emerging markets to maintain growth momentum in the sector.