IEA∶明年全球石油需求将出现反弹

据道琼斯伦敦6月16日消息，国际能源署(IEA)周二表示，疫情将重创今年的全球经济增长和石油需求，但产油国减产以及明年创纪录的需求回升幅度将有助于石油市场恢复平衡。

IEA在其备受关注的月度石油市场报告中称，今年全球原油需求量将下降810万桶/日，略小于上个月报告中的预测数字，报告预计2021年石油需求将强劲回升，将达到创纪录的570万桶/日。

最近几周，全球部分经济体解除疫情相关的封锁已经刺激原油需求复苏。中国4月份石油需求量几乎恢复到了上年同期水平，印度5月份石油需求实现增长。

IEA在报告中称，如果这种复苏势头持续下去，加之产油国坚持其收紧全球石油供应的计划，那么全球石油市场将在2020年下半年结束前更趋稳定。

张春晓 摘译自 道琼斯

原文如下：

IEA: Oil Demand Set For Record Bounce Next Year

-The coronavirus pandemic will hammer global growth and oil demand this year but supply cuts from producers and a record rebound in demand in next year will help rebalance the oil market, the International Energy Agency said Tuesday.

In its closely observed monthly oil market report, the IEA said that while the world's demand for crude will drop by 8.1 million barrels a day this year--slightly less than forecast in last month's report--demand in 2021 will bounce back by a record-breaking 5.7 million barrels a day.

The emergence in recent weeks of parts of the global economy from coronavirus lockdowns has spurred a recovery in crude demand. Chinese oil demand in April was almost back at levels seen a year previously and Indian demand climbed in May.

If that resurgence persists, and oil-producing nations stick to their plans to constrict global oil supply, "the market will be on a more stable footing by the end of the second half [of 2020]," the IEA said in its report.