巴西石油行业预计疫情影响将持续到2021年底

据路透社7月1日报道，游说团体IBP周二在一份报告中称，巴西石油业预计，受进口不断增长的推动，未来几个月巴西国内需求将出现复苏，但疫情负面影响预计将持续到2021年底。

据估计，在没有协调减产的情况下，石油消费量可能会下降10%以上，油价应该在每桶20美元至40美元之间。

随着疫苗的研制进展和全球石油产量的削减，在油价达到每桶60-70美元区间的情况下，消费量的降幅可能仅为5%。

邹勤 摘译自 路透社

原文如下：

Brazil's oil industry sees COVID-19 impact until the end of 2021

Brazil’s oil industry expects a recovery in domestic demand in the next months driven by growing imports, but the negative effects of COVID-19 are expected to last through the end of 2021, lobbying group IBP said in a note on Tuesday.

Consumption could drop by more than 10%, and oil prices should range between $20 and $40 per barrel without coordinated output cuts or social isolation, the institute estimated.

With a vaccine for the new coronavirus and production cuts, the drop in consumption could be limited to just 5%, with oil prices reaching the $60 to $70 range, it said. Brazil has the second-highest number of COVID-19 cases globally with more than 1.36 million cases.