国际投行预计下半年油价波动幅度较小

据道琼斯7月1日消息，《华尔街日报》对12家投资银行的调查显示，今年下半年油价不太可能在当前水平上有太大变动。预计第四季度布伦特原油的平均价格为每桶42.08美元，与当前价格相差不大，预计WTI原油在2020年最后一个季度的平均价格为每桶38.81美元，比当前价格低不到1美元。在2020年头几个月遭到疫情造成的严重破坏之后，投资银行预计布伦特原油今年的平均价格将为39.98美元/桶，明年将回升至48.59美元/桶。预计WTI今年的平均价格将略低于每桶36美元，明年略高于每桶45美元。

张春晓 摘译自 道琼斯

原文如下：

Banks Expect Oil to End 2020 Around Current Levels

Oil prices are unlikely to move by much from their current levels in the second half of the year, according to a Wall Street Journal poll of 12 investment banks. Brent is expected to average $42.08 a barrel in the fourth quarter--not much different from its current price--and WTI futures are expected to average $38.81 in 2020's final quarter, less than a dollar below current prices. After the havoc wreaked by the coronavirus in the first months of 2020, the polled banks expected Brent to average $39.98 a barrel this year, before recovering to $48.59 a barrel next year. WTI is expected to average just under $36 a barrel this year and just over $45 a barrel next year.