EIA：2020年美国原油产量降幅将低于此前预测

据路透社7月8日纽约报道，美国能源情报署(EIA)周二表示，预计2020年美国原油日产量将减少60万桶，至1163万桶，降幅小于此前预测的67万桶。

该机构目前预计，到2020年，美国的石油和其他液体燃料消耗量将减少210万桶/天，至1834万桶/天，降幅小于此前预测的240万桶/天。

由于疫情冲击了全球需求，并限制了全球旅行，今年油价暴跌。随着一些国家放松了封锁和留在国内的订单，全球需求已经开始复苏。

EIA称，预计2020年全球石油消费将减少815万桶/天，至9289万桶/天，降幅小于此前预测的834万桶/天。

该机构表示，美国液体燃料的消费量已经出现了最大降幅，总体而言，到2020年下半年和2021年，消费量将继续上升。

2021年，美国原油产量预计将下降62万桶/天，至平均1110万桶/天，而在第二季度，美国原油产量已降至1100万桶/天。

2021年，美国的石油需求预计将增长160万桶/天，达到1994万桶/天，而此前的预测为140万桶/天。

沈韩晔 摘译自 路透社

原文如下：

US crude output to decline less than previously forecast in 2020: EIA

US crude oil production is expected to fall by 600,000 barrels per day (bpd) in 2020 to 11.63 million bpd, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Tuesday, a smaller decline than the 670,000 bpd it forecast previously.

The agency now expects US petroleum and other liquid fuel consumption to drop 2.1 million bpd to 18.34 million bpd in 2020, a smaller decline than its previous forecast for a drop of 2.4 million bpd.

Oil prices collapsed this year as the coronavirus pandemic slammed global demand and restricted travel across the world. Demand worldwide has started to recover as some countries ease lockdowns and stay-at-home orders.

The EIA said it expects 2020 world oil consumption to drop by 8.15 million bpd to 92.89 million bpd, a smaller decline than the 8.34 million bpd previously forecast.

The largest declines in US liquid fuels consumption have already occurred and consumption will generally rise through the second half of 2020 and in 2021, the agency said.

For 2021, US crude production is expected to decline by 620,000 bpd to average about 11.01 million bpd after dipping under 11 million bpd during the second quarter.

US oil demand in 2021 is expected to rise by 1.6 million bpd to 19.94 million bpd, compared to a previous estimate for an increase of 1.4 million bpd.