今年全球LNG贸易增幅将放缓至3%-3.5%

据天然气新闻伦敦报道，天然气出口国论坛(GECF)秘书长尤里·森图林7月9日表示，今年全球液化天然气（LNG）贸易增幅将放缓至3%-3.5%，2021年将加快增长，之后两年将再次放缓增长。

根据行业组织GIIGNL公布的统计数据，在供应能力增加的支持下，去年全球LNG贸易量同比增长了13%，至3.547亿吨。

尽管GECF预计今年全球天然气需求量在最坏的情况下最多将下降6%，但液LNG已显示出了一些恢复力。

GECF秘书长尤里·森图林是在一次网络直播中发表上述讲话的。他表示：“就LNG贸易而言，我们预计今年全球增幅将放缓至3%-3.5%左右。2021年增幅将回升至6.5%-7%。”

森图林说：“然而，在新增LNG产能放缓的驱动下，全球2022-2023年LNG贸易年增幅预计将放缓至约1.5%-2%，增幅放缓预计将支持全球现货天然气和LNG价格的复苏。”

李峻 编译自 天然气新闻

原文如下：

LNG trade growth to slow to 3%-3.5% in 2020: GECF chief

Global LNG trade is expected to grow by 3%-3.5% in 2020 followed by faster growth in 2021 before a slowdown in thesubsequent two years, the head of the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) said July 9.

Global LNG trade surged 13% year on year in 2019 to 354.7 million mt, according to industry group GIIGNL, on the back ofincreased supply capacity.

While the GECF expects global gas demand to fall in 2020 by up to 6% in a worst-case scenario, LNG has shown someresilience.

"In terms of LNG trade, we expect a slowdown in growth to around 3%-3.5% in 2020," ahead of a recovery to growth of6.5%-7% in 2021, GECF secretary general Yury Sentyurin said in a webcast.

"However in 2022-2023, LNG trade growth is projected to slow to around 1.5%-2% per year, driven by a slowdown in new LNGcapacity, which is expected to support a recovery in global spot gas and LNG prices," he said.