德勤：电动汽车2030年前将占全球新车销量三分之一

据能源转型2020年7月28日纽约报道，根据德勤会计师事务所的最新分析，由于消费者信心的改变和使用行为习惯障碍逐步消除，全球电动汽车（EV）年销量到2030年前有望达到3110万辆，比之前的预测多出1000万辆。

这家全球著名咨询公司7月28日表示，这意味着到2030年前售出的新车中，有三分之一将是EV，从而使其总市场份额达到32%。

德勤会计师事务所补充说，尽管新冠病毒疫情大流行在全球造成破坏，但德勤会计师事务所仍预计，基于29%的复合年增长率，全球EV总销量今年将达到250万辆。德勤会计师事务所估计，这个数字到2025年和2030前将分别增加到1120万辆和3110万辆以上。

德勤会计师事务所说：“在这个里程碑上，根据研究，全EV销量将占到所有新EV销量的81%，超过其插电式混合动力EV。”

德勤会计师事务所补充说，EV销量的增长受到了良好的监管环境的推动，比如财务激励机制和排放目标，以及一系列新EV车型的开发。

李峻 编译自 能源转型

原文如下：

EVs to make up third of new cars sold globally by 2030: Deloitte

The world is on course to reach annual electric vehicles sales of 31.1 million by 2030, 10 million more than previously forecast, due to changing consumer sentiment and dissipating adoption barriers, according to new analysis by Deloitte.

The consultancy said July 28 that this meant that one in three new cars sold by 2030 would be EVs, bringing the total market share up to 32%.

It added that, in spite of the disruption caused by the coronavirus pandemic, it still expected total global EV sales to reach 2.5 million in 2020 and, based on a compound annual growth rate of 29%, Deloitte estimated that the volume would grow to above 11.2 million in 2025 and 31.1 million by 2030.

"At this milestone, fully electric vehicles will account for 81% of all new EVs sold according to the research, outperforming their plug-in hybrid peers," it said.

Deloitte added that EV growth was being driven by a favorable regulatory environment, such as financial incentives and emission targets, as well as the development of a wide range of new EV models.