据石化新闻2020年9月3日伦敦报道,标普全球普氏能源资讯公布的统计数据显示,由于对9月成交量的需求不断增长,欧洲甲醇现货价格在9月2日达到了自今年3月以来的最高水平。
9月2日甲醇鹿特丹离岸价为每吨197欧元,创下了6个月来新高。当天成交的甲醇数量约有1.1万吨,成交价在195欧元/吨至197欧元/吨之间。
消息人士表示,对于合同数量来说,甲醇供应是健康的,但他补充说,由于全球运行率降低,现货供应受到限制。由于需求疲软,甲醇利润率在第二季度受到严重打击,导致工厂关闭和开工率下降。
此外,欧洲最大的甲醇供应国俄罗斯的计划维护仍在进行,可能会持续到10月份。
消息人士预计,这一上升趋势将在未来几周持续,因为现货市场通常在季度合约价格谈判开始前活跃。然而,展望未来,甲醇需求前景仍存在不确定性,目前由于新冠肺炎疫情大流行,全球甲醇需求仍低于2019年水平。
李峻 编译自 石化新闻
原文如下:
European methanol spot hits 6-month high on demand
European methanol spot prices reached levels not seen since March on Sept. 2, according to S&P Global Platts data, amid growing demand for September volumes.
The FOB Rotterdam hit a six-month high at Eur197/mt.
Around 11,000 mt of methanol were traded on Sept. 2, with deals done between Eur195/mt up to Eur197/mt.
Supply of methanol was healthy for contractual volumes, sources said, however adding that availability of spot was limited due to reduced run rates globally.
Methanol margins have been severely hit during the second quarter due to weak demand, leading to plants shut downs and lower operating rates.
In addition, planned maintenance in Russia -- Europe's largest supplier of methanol -- is still ongoing and will likely last until October.
Sources expected the upward trend to continue over the coming weeks, as the spot market is usually active ahead of the beginning of the negotiations for the quarterly contract price.
However, looking ahead, there was still uncertainty on the demand outlook, which currently remains below 2019 levels due to the pandemic.
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