EIA上调今年布伦特和WTI原油价格预测

据美国钻井网站2020年9月10日华盛顿报道，美国能源信息署(EIA)10日在其最新一期的短期能源展望(STEO)报告中透露，EIA上调了其对今年布伦特原油和西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)价格的预测。

根据EIA的 9月份STEO报告，今年布伦特原油和西德克萨斯中质油的现货价格将分别为每桶41.90美元和38.99美元。这些数据比EIA在8月份发布的STEO报告中预测的数字略有上升。EIA 的8月份STEO报告预测，今年布伦特原油的平均现货价格为每桶41.42美元，西德克萨斯中质原油的平均现货价格为每桶38.50美元。EIA的7月STEO报告预计，今年布伦特原油的平均现货价格为每桶40.50美元，西德克萨斯中质原油的平均现货价格为每桶37.55美元。

展望2021年，EIA在其最新预测中下调了两种原油价格预测。9月份的STEO报告显示，2021年布伦特原油的平均现货价格为每桶49.07美元，西德克萨斯中质原油的平均现货价格为每桶45.07美元。在8月份的STEO报告中，这些数据分别为每桶49.53美元和45.53美元，而在7月份的STEO报告中，它们分别为每桶49.70美元和45.70美元。

EIA在9月份的STEO报告中强调，8月份布伦特原油现货价格平均为每桶45美元，比7月份的平均水平高出了2美元。EIA还指出，布伦特原油8月份的价格比4月份的平均价格上涨了26美元。

李峻 编译自 美国钻井网站

原文如下：

EIA Raises 2020 Oil Price Forecasts

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has raised its Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price forecasts for 2020, the organization’s latest short-term energy outlook (STEO) has revealed.

Brent and WTI spot prices will average $41.90 per barrel and $38.99 per barrel, respectively, this year, according to the EIA’s September STEO. These figures mark a slight increase from the EIA’s August STEO, which forecasted an average Brent spot price of $41.42 per barrel and an average WTI spot price of $38.50 per barrel in 2020. The EIA’s July STEO projected an average Brent spot price of $40.50 per barrel and an average WTI spot price of $37.55 per barrel this year.

Looking ahead to 2021, the EIA reduced its price predictions in its latest forecast. September’s STEO shows an average Brent spot price of $49.07 per barrel and an average WTI spot price of $45.07 per barrel. Back in August’s STEO, these figures stood at $49.53 per barrel and $45.53 per barrel, respectively, and in July’s STEO they were $49.70 per barrel and $45.70 per barrel, respectively.

In its September STEO, the EIA highlighted that Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $45 per barrel in August, which it noted was $2 per barrel higher than July’s average. The organization also outlined that Brent prices in August were up $26 per barrel from the average price in April.