未来几十年全球LNG需求将稳步增长

据管道&天然气杂志网9月21日伦敦路透社报道，根据行业高管本周在Gastech峰会上表示，受亚洲经济增长的推动，液化天然气(LNG)需求未来几十年将稳步增长，新冠疫情被视为只是一个短期挫折。

埃克森美孚液化天然气市场发展公司总裁Irtiza Sayyed表示，尽管世界仍在努力应对市场需求和新冠疫情的严重影响，但不断增长的人口和能源需求仍支撑着长期基本面。

根据国际能源论坛(International Energy Forum)预计，今年全球天然气需求将下降约3%，此后将强劲复苏。

随着世界寻求更清洁的能源以减少污染和二氧化碳排放，天然气和液化天然气有望成为通向未来净零排放的通道。

切尼尔营销公司（Cheniere Marketing Pte. Ltd）副总裁Douglas Wharton告诉Gastech，随着全球经济的增长，液化天然气行业现在和将来都将保持高速增长，特别是在亚洲，人们渴望安全、廉价和清洁的燃料。

由于新冠疫情，1972年在伦敦发起的全球天然气和液化天然气会议原本实际上将于今年举行的。明年将在新加坡举行。

切尼尔预测，2019-2040年间，液化天然气交易需求将以年均3.4%的速度增长，而实现这一增长还需要额外的供应。

峰会上的一些高管表示，由于新冠疫情减少了对新产品的投资，因此供应可能不会像需求那样快地恢复。

伍德麦肯齐（Wood Mackenzie）表示，未来十年LNG需求增长的三分之二将来自中国，印度，巴基斯坦和孟加拉国。

来自印度业内高管表示，今年他们国家的液化天然气需求正在增长，而大多数发言者都认为，中国将是未来几十年液化天然气需求的主要推动力量。

Poten & Partners公司的天然气和液化天然气顾问蔡铭表示，预计到2040年，中国的天然气年需求将超过6000亿立方米，而今年的需求仅略高于3000亿立方米。

郝芬 译自 管道&天然气杂志网

原文如下：

Global LNG Demand to Rise for Next Few Decades, COVID Temporary Blip

Demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) is set to increase steadily for several decades helped by economic growth in Asia, industry executives told the Gastech summit this week, with the COVID-19 pandemic seen as only a short-term setback.

While the world continues to grapple with the severe impacts of market demand and the impact of COVID-19, long-term fundamentals remain strong supported by growing population and energy demand,” Irtiza Sayyed, president, ExxonMobil LNG Market Development Inc, said.

Global gas demand is forecast to decline by around 3% in 2020 and make a robust recovery after that, according to International Energy Forum.

With the world seeking cleaner energy sources to reduce pollution and CO2 emissions, gas and LNG are expected to provide the corridor to a net-zero future.

“LNG is and will remain a high-growth industry based on a growing economy worldwide, particularly in Asia, with a desire for secure, affordable and cleaner-burning fuels,” Douglas Wharton, vice president, Cheniere Marketing Pte. Ltd., told Gastech.

The global gas and LNG conference, launched in London in 1972, was held virtually this year due to the COVID-19 pandemic. It will be held in Singapore next year.

Cheniere forecasts LNG trade demand will grow by an average 3.4% a year between 2019 and 2040, with additional supply required to achieve such growth.

Some executives at the summit said that as coronavirus had reduced investment in new production, supply may not recover as fast as demand.

Around two thirds of the growth in LNG demand in the next decade will come from China, India, Pakistan and Bangladesh, according to Wood Mackenzie.

Industry executives from India said LNG demand in their countries is growing this year, while most speakers agreed China will be the key driving force for LNG demand in coming decades.

China’s gas demand is expected to exceed 600 billion cubic meters (bcm) per year by 2040, up from just over 300 bcm per year in 2020, according to Ming Cai, natural gas and LNG consultant at Poten & Partners.