圭亚那未来几年有望成为世界液化天然气供应国

据今日石油2020年9月24日报道，考虑到圭亚那在近海发现了大量的碳氢化合物资源，而且由于圭亚那经济逐渐摆脱对化石燃料的依赖以及对天然气的需求日益增加，这个南美洲国家在未来几年内能够成为世界液化天然气（LNG）的供应国。

这是圭亚那著名经济学家博比·戈塞的观点，他在上周末在《今日石油》上发表的一篇专栏文章中重点探讨了圭亚那天然气供应出口市场的潜力。

戈塞表示，对石油而言，其基本面仍然非常具有挑战性，但他补充说，世界市场正在重新校正其短期、中期和长期库存需求的观点。鉴于全球新冠肺炎大流行之后世界经济形势的变化，这一点尤其重要。“特别是，天然气的前景在支持快速增长的发展中经济体进行脱碳和减少对煤炭的依赖以及在与碳捕获利用和存储(CCUS)结合起来成为一种接近零碳能源来源中比石油的前景更有弹性。”

戈塞表示，鉴于圭亚那具有天然气开发的巨大潜力，“这个南美国家的经济可以成为向全球市场供应LNG的世界供应国，就像它目前对丽莎大油田的原油所做的那样。”

根据戈塞的说法，随着水电项目的发展，圭亚那具有增加其能源结构的潜力。随着碳氢化合物和可再生能源的双双发展，圭亚那作为全球LNG供应国的能源前景可能十分可观。

李峻 编译自 今日石油

原文如下：

Guyana can become world supplier of natural gas – Bobby Gossai Jr.

Guyana can become a world supplier of Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) in the coming years, given the vast hydrocarbon resources found offshore the South American country and the growing demand for gas, as economies wean themselves off of fossil fuels.

This is the view of Guyanese economist Bobby Gossai Jr. who explored the possibilities of Guyana’s gas potential to supply export markets in a column published on OilNOW over the weekend.

Gossai Jr. stated that for petroleum the fundamentals are still very challenging but added that the world market is recalibrating its view of how much inventory it will need for the short, medium and long term. This is particularly relevant, given the changing situation of the world economy, following the global pandemic. “In particular, the outlook for natural gas is more resilient than for oil, underpinned by the role of natural gas in supporting fast-growing developing economies as they decarbonized and reduce their reliance on coal, and as a source of near-zero carbon energy when combined with carbon capture use and storage (CCUS),” he stated.

Gossai Jr. said with great potential for natural gas development in Guyana, “this economy can become a world supplier of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to the global market, as it is currently doing with the Liza crude.”

According to Gossai Jr., Guyana has the potential to add to its energy mix as well, with the development of hydroelectric projects. “The energy outlook for Guyana as a supplier could be significant with the development of both hydrocarbons and renewable energy sources,” he stated.