欧佩克：明年第二季度全球库存将低于5年均线

据石油新闻2020年9月27日迪拜报道，欧佩克秘书长穆罕默·巴尔金都9月27日表示，经合组织（OECD）的商业石油库存预计到明年第一季度将略高于5年平均水平，然而在今年剩余时间里将跌破这一基准水平。

巴尔金都在由沙特阿拉伯在线主办的G20能源部长会议上的事先准备好的评论中称，上述预测是基于最新的预测，即今年全球石油需求将减少950万桶/天，而非欧佩克产油国的液体产量预计将减少270万桶/天。

巴尔金都说，“因此，我们的工作还没有完成。我们必须跨越我们所面临的任何分歧，努力达成更广泛、以共识为驱动的解决方案，这将有利于我们的利益攸关方，并最终有利于整个世界。”

欧佩克及其包括俄罗斯在内的盟友曾表示，他们的目标是通过集体减产，将全球石油库存降至5年平均水平。

所谓的欧佩克+联盟同意在5月份开始每日减产970万桶，之后又放宽至8月至年底每日减产770万桶，这是因为全球石油需求预计届时将回升。从2021年1月到2022年4月，减产计划将进一步缩减至每天580万桶，但欧佩克+的领导人没有排除在市场条件允许的情况下维持进一步的减产。

李峻 编译自 石油新闻

原文如下：

Global oil inventories expected to drop below 5-year average in Q2 2021: OPEC

OECD commercial oil inventories are expected to stand slightly above the five-year average through Q1 2021, before dropping below that benchmark for the remainder of the year, OPEC Secretary General Mohammed Barkindo said Sept. 27.

The projections are based on latest forecasts, which expect world oil demand in 2020 to contract by 9.5 million b/d, while non-OPEC liquids production is anticipated to decline by 2.7 million b/d, said Barkindo said in prepared remarks at the G20 energy ministerial hosted online by Saudi Arabia.

"Therefore, our job is not yet complete. We must reach across whatever divide we face and work towards broader and consensus-driven solutions that are beneficial to our stakeholders and ultimately the entire world," Barkindo said.

OPEC and its allies, including Russia, have said they are aiming to reduce global oil inventories to the five-year average through their collective production cuts.

The so-called OPEC+ alliance agreed to cut 9.7 million b/d of production starting in May, which was then relaxed to a 7.7 million b/d cut from August through the end of the year, anticipating a pick-up in global oil demand. From January 2021 through April 2022, the cuts are scheduled to taper further to 5.8 million b/d, but OPEC+ leaders have not ruled out maintaining deeper cuts if market conditions warrant.