欧佩克+将继续维持石油产量

据油价网3月25日消息称，据路透社的四位消息人士称，欧佩克+可能决定再维持一个月的石油产量基本稳定。

沙特阿拉伯和阿联酋都表示，在向市场投入多少石油的问题上，需要谨慎行事。

本周周二，布伦特原油价格从3月11日的每桶69.63美元暴跌至60.86美元。到周三，油价反弹至每桶近64美元，当天上涨了5%以上。

油价剧烈波动的原因是多方面的，包括美国石油库存数据、欧盟又一轮封锁、阿斯利康疫苗的安全性和有效性的担忧，以及苏伊士运河一艘船只被困导致油轮堵塞。

无论价格波动的原因是什么，数据表明，市场对刺激措施的看涨或看跌仍然很敏感，只有需求的持续增长才能解决这个问题。

即使欧佩克在4月份保持产量稳定——或者允许几个热切的产油国略微增加产量——仍有几个不确定因素威胁着欧佩克保持供应紧张的能力。

朱佳妮 摘译自 油价网

原文如下：

OPEC+ Will Keep A Lid On Oil Production

OPEC+ will likely decide to keep oil production essentially steady for another month, according to four Reuters sources.

Saudi Arabia and the UAE have both spoke out in favor of the need to tread lightly when it comes to how much oil is put into the market.

On Tuesday this week, the price of Brent crude plunged to $60.86 per barrel from $69.63 per barrel on March 11. By Wednesday, the price had rebounded to nearly $64 per barrel—up more than 5% on the day.

The dramatic price fluctuations are attributable to a variety of events, including U.S. oil inventory figures, another round of lockdowns in the EU, AstraZeneca vaccine safety and efficacy concerns, and a vessel stuck in the Suez canal causing a traffic jam of oil tankers.

No matter the reason for the price swings, the data suggests that the market is still sensitive to stimuli—bullish or bearish, and nothing but a sustained increase in demand is likely to cure that.

Even if OPEC holds production steady for April—or allows a couple of eager producers to ramp up just slightly—there remain a couple of wildcards that threaten OPEC’s ability to keep supplies tight.